Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.197266 0.222146 0.248357 0.277973 0.310446 0.344908 0.384187
2025-05-25 0.162598 0.195979 0.233077 0.277164 0.327920 0.384309 0.451473
2025-06-01 0.137919 0.176477 0.221370 0.277069 0.343863 0.420912 0.516004
2025-06-08 0.118669 0.160401 0.211081 0.276422 0.357630 0.454393 0.577482
2025-06-15 0.106366 0.151037 0.207363 0.282471 0.378744 0.496674 0.650562
2025-06-22 0.093984 0.139946 0.200016 0.282695 0.391757 0.528787 0.711784
2025-06-29 0.083555 0.130169 0.193184 0.282514 0.403497 0.559053 0.771163
2025-07-06 0.074738 0.121582 0.186974 0.282270 0.414528 0.588217 0.829585
2025-07-13 0.068240 0.115579 0.183656 0.285404 0.429772 0.622997 0.896078
2025-07-20 0.063821 0.112171 0.183606 0.292832 0.450897 0.666038 0.974632
2025-07-27 0.058546 0.106865 0.180240 0.295028 0.464437 0.698873 1.040070
2025-08-03 0.054776 0.103551 0.179512 0.300849 0.483127 0.739155 1.116642
2025-08-10 0.051702 0.101243 0.180363 0.309375 0.506583 0.787624 1.207225
2025-08-17 0.046688 0.095137 0.174731 0.307519 0.514427 0.814001 1.267422
2025-08-24 0.042459 0.089947 0.170129 0.306866 0.523846 0.842741 1.331633
2025-08-31 0.038611 0.085028 0.165551 0.305853 0.532466 0.870361 1.394793
2025-09-07 0.036419 0.082953 0.165589 0.312250 0.552722 0.915684 1.484874
2025-09-14 0.033420 0.079001 0.162043 0.312393 0.562935 0.946059 1.553512
2025-09-21 0.030652 0.075198 0.158440 0.312139 0.572339 0.975296 1.621018
2025-09-28 0.028141 0.071636 0.154977 0.311842 0.581510 1.004266 1.688673
2025-10-05 0.026336 0.069356 0.153697 0.315226 0.596770 1.042994 1.771991
2025-10-12 0.025244 0.068505 0.155033 0.323277 0.620044 1.094842 1.876591
2025-10-19 0.023569 0.066166 0.153316 0.325654 0.633701 1.131695 1.958713